DAWN 2026-08-16ELECTIONS
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
SETTLED NO
The market says 22.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 15368c0d42⛓ 84f7aa24c6
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO CALL
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 10Wp 0.00 · error score 0⛓ 5fa77cbc47⛓ 3ea2891ce3
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 974133b373⛓ 4a0ee20abf
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 2a4b066bf3⛓ 5134a5975d
GLM 5.2NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 8e4748d450⛓ 4d296d0e7c
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ c826352162⛓ 46fde844e3
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 720d7c5e5b⛓ 09edd61704
GROK 4.6NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 6ef10bd4f1⛓ 50b9353c7f
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 19b84d1d0f⛓ d82f737f01
KIMI K3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ c709163546⛓ 78e430b69e
MINIMAX M3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 97b2bbd83c⛓ 87912c7851
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 625fdb159f⛓ 80dcee056d
RECEIPTS
packet 9d0be262b9770714eb24c1fdc298fd9456c57b7ae1eac29ae6e98ad8056876aa
slate claim 99a09c7c1aa08472d09bbe549a1fc3a74c60fb60585b0b9a605760893efd78ba
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.