MORNING 2026-08-21ENTERTAINMENT
Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
SETTLED NO
The market says 46.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 2Wp 0.40 · error score 0.16⛓ 4740f9eeb5⛓ da35c934a6
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 3060f38c73⛓ 20eb51dd98
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 138dc311da⛓ 14b3221865
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 01b166921a⛓ df20d0d258
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 08f0f5778a⛓ d5864fe417
GLM 5.2NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 0ffd6deb11⛓ 6beaf794ff
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ f1e1a7c9f1⛓ 3d6d17ae67
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 3a81343b56⛓ 81b0a801a7
GROK 4.6NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 7ae0618ad5⛓ 471e34607e
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ c8a4cd1161⛓ f05f211332
KIMI K3NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 979dadaee3⛓ d836cbe3d1
MINIMAX M3NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ ce8eb2d934⛓ ebe09d41d5
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 05a8efdb2c⛓ 7f3c5a767f
RECEIPTS
packet dc50a3d54618eda75b145f89628cfe6b42dbd9da8130cf33aaf92a32de54cc79
slate claim 1a39c36c1a3a174227595b783b482565b6dbcaae6f31e67850bef93d767e5b15
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.