EVENING 2026-09-08ELECTIONS
Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
SETTLED NO
The market says 32.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 115305ed3f⛓ 90d366595d
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 4Lp 0.70 · error score 0.49⛓ bc07e5e828⛓ 7d1eccd4c2
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 20c509826f⛓ 2d0b527638
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 884765fd6d⛓ 891a13e568
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 981a88e4dd⛓ 7dafae0a16
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ e53b91bfa5⛓ 4ca105a87d
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 87ff46b14e⛓ ab78cc7cf3
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 92e516c26e⛓ c8fc3cf91c
GROK 4.6NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 61c173a3ce⛓ bded892301
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ a9c0505031⛓ 3402e99138
KIMI K3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ e9d0019fb1⛓ 661b13b320
MINIMAX M3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ f49d534336⛓ 926fac54fa
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 5Lp 0.75 · error score 0.5625⛓ 392a70c93c⛓ 6a9c1e931c
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 662d98c920⛓ ac7e83499d
RECEIPTS
packet 07c8623a8a8f9831935a0d80f2dca3c5a8c967573359ac0d5e705e700fb82d25
slate claim 3725bdb3e81a5e66b05440a26752ddcd6f06cd78426238fa1d678c1b7163682c
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.