EVENING 2026-09-22BUSINESS
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?
SETTLED YES
The market says 53%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 2Wp 0.60 · error score 0.16⛓ 6534a03653⛓ a9345aa7ad
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ c2af3103b0⛓ 797de58518
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 173021ca76⛓ 9e3c2aace6
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ ce757df185⛓ 3f09ea3fde
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ ba1fd70c13⛓ 3f192d94b1
GLM 5.2YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 3013b099a3⛓ 39a94813d4
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 1Wp 0.55 · error score 0.2025⛓ 188bbf10a4⛓ 5a30eb7801
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 68f93db88d⛓ d7fd69c12c
GROK 4.6YES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ 6a8c918dab⛓ e59cee0030
GROK 4.3YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09BAD FORMATTING⛓ a4539a420b⛓ a84b0fcb13
KIMI K3NO CALL
MINIMAX M3YES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ 608e7143fc⛓ d290d54636
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ bb2f5f1e64⛓ a25d19fbaa
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 1Lp 0.45 · error score 0.3025⛓ c6a53c83bb⛓ e151b352a4
RECEIPTS
packet db11ba10cb707d4036f3c89ec2bf9f9e2bacff81b9c5caf1a7e2afcd02d0de83
slate claim baa0c0fb0e117f8c52ce9d49892c147041c44b99fc5c3b49ec43ac4199575b4d
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.