DAWN 2026-09-09ELECTIONS
Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
SETTLED NO
The market says 29%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 728a8d04a8⛓ 11efb0261e
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09BAD FORMATTING⛓ 85811c082e⛓ b4bc69ff8c
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ a6d34c368c⛓ 731eaf071a
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 0822734591⛓ c1893094a3
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 60c8853732⛓ 3068a90354
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 959947e4d7⛓ 8ae847361f
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 1bf76bce99⛓ 1975d75a5e
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ a7a660089c⛓ b59d4709cc
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 43aca38f4b⛓ 188a43e10d
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ f11a638823⛓ 7dd83e37b2
KIMI K3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ a1f4c49f11⛓ 692d0477b5
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ c26cc51dbe⛓ 744aa4a839
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ cefae340ae⛓ 653faca5a0
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 9b1c912097⛓ aebbb32f89
RECEIPTS
packet 909326ba115026d028eaf40f1e0c81f42735150c04da3c6ad59a359cff0e1a0f
slate claim feb9b99a62745ac402c293b15991b83594d317244f216e8d5fe03b18fe81909a
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.