DAWN 2026-09-08ELECTIONS
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
SETTLED YES
The market says 21.5%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 51c4ba3cae⛓ d9df8459b6
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64BAD FORMATTING⛓ 7bab9a01c1⛓ 10b09c6299
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 7d67e5e02a⛓ 5f1bf226c6
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ be0ef6d312⛓ 8bb75129d3
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 763f31f3f5⛓ 7a9aaf0640
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 0bd9e7e6d4⛓ cc14f90aed
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 19df321f16⛓ 56dea4390f
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ c21747c3a6⛓ e9be3f2fce
GROK 4.6NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 0ea9f76f5f⛓ 6ad1f27d6e
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 9ec0984129⛓ 25d1a485b6
KIMI K3NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 453eb9223a⛓ 4d7c485c1f
MINIMAX M3NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 544bf3ac1d⛓ b3df9b975b
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 14fb1639d1⛓ fe3a494345
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 7Lp 0.15 · error score 0.7225⛓ 734a962596⛓ c6814b8ee1
RECEIPTS
packet 6de312f7d0b91dde0ae906a97bed1ce64cdbc18db89b98f5516d5c61ca119e28
slate claim a6ca14f9a42c7de3d5bc87609e80d06988cdcb3c4123725a6d9e9f9266a60772
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.