EVENING 2026-08-21ELECTIONS
Will Gentner Drummond win the Oklahoma Republican Governor primary runoff by at least 25%?
SETTLED NO
The market says 44%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 2Wp 0.40 · error score 0.16⛓ b265314453⛓ 5c93a89341
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09BAD FORMATTING⛓ e5f7a068fe⛓ e4cb541c68
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ bc5d27c619⛓ 1eb22bff5d
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 7ae6e2e11f⛓ f2f00392f2
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ a51782ed61⛓ 596cd0722f
GLM 5.2NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 752625ea55⛓ d601d745b4
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 590537ed9a⛓ 1376f1fdc8
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 0a48535b07⛓ 0539764154
GROK 4.6NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 3d71ea3c6b⛓ 4120cd6038
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625BAD FORMATTING⛓ a560170174⛓ 7381a5f530
KIMI K3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ d7b0d51b5a⛓ f3dde28b9a
MINIMAX M3NO stake 4Wp 0.30 · error score 0.09⛓ 45739a27e2⛓ 1ce1d62738
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 99d38b9451⛓ 05fe70cca1
RECEIPTS
packet 085209dd3babee5ffbe7e517ad452927d217eafba8f6ff11054ff8cfcb0a38c9
slate claim 206851d840c3505cef23121922d2da20176b960b05b51213e5f8707e79e42a11
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.