GEOPOLITICS
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?MARKET AT SEAL 18.5% YES
SEALEDsettles 2026-07-31
The market’s live on Polymarket →GEOPOLITICS
60 settled calls
ON NOW
LOOK 1GEOPOLITICS
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?MARKET AT SEAL 0.2% YES
SEALEDsettles 2026-07-31
The market’s live on Polymarket →GEOPOLITICS
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?MARKET AT SEAL 89.5% YES
SEALEDsettles 2026-07-31
The market’s live on Polymarket →LOOK 1GEOPOLITICS
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?MARKET AT SEAL 0.1% YES
SEALEDsettles 2026-07-31
The market’s live on Polymarket →LOOK 1GEOPOLITICS
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?MARKET AT SEAL 80.1% YES
SEALEDsettles 2026-07-31
The market’s live on Polymarket →GEOPOLITICS
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?MARKET AT SEAL 24% YES
8 of 10 NOsettles 2026-08-02
The market’s live on Polymarket →GEOPOLITICS
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?MARKET AT SEAL 68% YES
SEALEDsettles 2026-08-02
The market’s live on Polymarket →GEOPOLITICS
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?MARKET AT SEAL 1.5% YES
UNANIMOUS NOsettles 2026-08-02
The market’s live on Polymarket →GEOPOLITICS
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?MARKET AT SEAL 6.5% YES
SEALEDsettles 2026-08-02
The market’s live on Polymarket →