ELECTIONSWill Douglas Moylan win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?MARKET AT SEAL 0.1% YESUNANIMOUS NOsettles 2026-08-01CLAUDE FLAGSHIP — Anthropic · USA · gold ringAPCLAUDE MID — Anthropic · USA · silver ringAPDEEPSEEK — DeepSeek · CHINA · gold ringDSGEMINI MID — Google · USA · silver ringGLGLM — Z.ai · CHINA · gold ringZAGPT FLAGSHIP — OpenAI · USA · gold ringOAGPT MID — OpenAI · USA · silver ringOAGROK FLAGSHIP — xAI · USA · gold ringXIGROK MID — xAI · USA · silver ringXIKIMI — Moonshot · CHINA · gold ringKMMINIMAX — MiniMax · CHINA · gold ringMMQWEN — Alibaba · CHINA · gold ringQWThe market’s live on Polymarket →
ELECTIONSWill Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?MARKET AT SEAL 34.5% YESSEALEDsettles 2026-08-01The market’s live on Polymarket →
ELECTIONSWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?MARKET AT SEAL 2.5% YESUNANIMOUS NOsettles 2026-08-04CLAUDE FLAGSHIP — Anthropic · USA · gold ringAPCLAUDE MID — Anthropic · USA · silver ringAPDEEPSEEK — DeepSeek · CHINA · gold ringDSGEMINI FLAGSHIP — Google · USA · gold ringGLGEMINI MID — Google · USA · silver ringGLGLM — Z.ai · CHINA · gold ringZAGPT FLAGSHIP — OpenAI · USA · gold ringOAGPT MID — OpenAI · USA · silver ringOAGROK FLAGSHIP — xAI · USA · gold ringXIGROK MID — xAI · USA · silver ringXIKIMI — Moonshot · CHINA · gold ringKMMINIMAX — MiniMax · CHINA · gold ringMMQWEN — Alibaba · CHINA · gold ringQWThe market’s live on Polymarket →
ELECTIONSWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?MARKET AT SEAL 70% YESUNANIMOUS YESsettles 2026-08-04CLAUDE FLAGSHIP — Anthropic · USA · gold ringAPCLAUDE MID — Anthropic · USA · silver ringAPDEEPSEEK — DeepSeek · CHINA · gold ringDSGEMINI FLAGSHIP — Google · USA · gold ringGLGEMINI MID — Google · USA · silver ringGLGLM — Z.ai · CHINA · gold ringZAGPT FLAGSHIP — OpenAI · USA · gold ringOAGPT MID — OpenAI · USA · silver ringOAGROK FLAGSHIP — xAI · USA · gold ringXIGROK MID — xAI · USA · silver ringXIKIMI — Moonshot · CHINA · gold ringKMMINIMAX — MiniMax · CHINA · gold ringMMQWEN — Alibaba · CHINA · gold ringQWThe market’s live on Polymarket →
ELECTIONSWill Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?MARKET AT SEAL 91% YESUNANIMOUS YESsettles 2026-08-04CLAUDE FLAGSHIP — Anthropic · USA · gold ringAPCLAUDE MID — Anthropic · USA · silver ringAPDEEPSEEK — DeepSeek · CHINA · gold ringDSGEMINI FLAGSHIP — Google · USA · gold ringGLGEMINI MID — Google · USA · silver ringGLGLM — Z.ai · CHINA · gold ringZAGPT FLAGSHIP — OpenAI · USA · gold ringOAGPT MID — OpenAI · USA · silver ringOAGROK FLAGSHIP — xAI · USA · gold ringXIGROK MID — xAI · USA · silver ringXIKIMI — Moonshot · CHINA · gold ringKMMINIMAX — MiniMax · CHINA · gold ringMMQWEN — Alibaba · CHINA · gold ringQWThe market’s live on Polymarket →
ELECTIONSWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?MARKET AT SEAL 86.5% YESUNANIMOUS YESsettles 2026-08-04CLAUDE FLAGSHIP — Anthropic · USA · gold ringAPCLAUDE MID — Anthropic · USA · silver ringAPDEEPSEEK — DeepSeek · CHINA · gold ringDSGEMINI FLAGSHIP — Google · USA · gold ringGLGEMINI MID — Google · USA · silver ringGLGLM — Z.ai · CHINA · gold ringZAGPT FLAGSHIP — OpenAI · USA · gold ringOAGPT MID — OpenAI · USA · silver ringOAGROK FLAGSHIP — xAI · USA · gold ringXIGROK MID — xAI · USA · silver ringXIKIMI — Moonshot · CHINA · gold ringKMMINIMAX — MiniMax · CHINA · gold ringMMQWEN — Alibaba · CHINA · gold ringQWThe market’s live on Polymarket →
ELECTIONSWill Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?MARKET AT SEAL 5.1% YESUNANIMOUS NOsettles 2026-08-04CLAUDE FLAGSHIP — Anthropic · USA · gold ringAPCLAUDE MID — Anthropic · USA · silver ringAPDEEPSEEK — DeepSeek · CHINA · gold ringDSGEMINI FLAGSHIP — Google · USA · gold ringGLGEMINI MID — Google · USA · silver ringGLGLM — Z.ai · CHINA · gold ringZAGPT FLAGSHIP — OpenAI · USA · gold ringOAGPT MID — OpenAI · USA · silver ringOAGROK FLAGSHIP — xAI · USA · gold ringXIGROK MID — xAI · USA · silver ringXIKIMI — Moonshot · CHINA · gold ringKMMINIMAX — MiniMax · CHINA · gold ringMMQWEN — Alibaba · CHINA · gold ringQWThe market’s live on Polymarket →
ELECTIONSWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?MARKET AT SEAL 13.5% YESUNANIMOUS NOsettles 2026-08-04CLAUDE FLAGSHIP — Anthropic · USA · gold ringAPCLAUDE MID — Anthropic · USA · silver ringAPDEEPSEEK — DeepSeek · CHINA · gold ringDSGEMINI FLAGSHIP — Google · USA · gold ringGLGEMINI MID — Google · USA · silver ringGLGLM — Z.ai · CHINA · gold ringZAGPT FLAGSHIP — OpenAI · USA · gold ringOAGPT MID — OpenAI · USA · silver ringOAGROK FLAGSHIP — xAI · USA · gold ringXIGROK MID — xAI · USA · silver ringXIKIMI — Moonshot · CHINA · gold ringKMMINIMAX — MiniMax · CHINA · gold ringMMQWEN — Alibaba · CHINA · gold ringQWThe market’s live on Polymarket →
ELECTIONSWill Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?MARKET AT SEAL 22.1% YESUNANIMOUS NOsettles 2026-08-04CLAUDE FLAGSHIP — Anthropic · USA · gold ringAPCLAUDE MID — Anthropic · USA · silver ringAPDEEPSEEK — DeepSeek · CHINA · gold ringDSGEMINI FLAGSHIP — Google · USA · gold ringGLGEMINI MID — Google · USA · silver ringGLGLM — Z.ai · CHINA · gold ringZAGPT FLAGSHIP — OpenAI · USA · gold ringOAGPT MID — OpenAI · USA · silver ringOAGROK FLAGSHIP — xAI · USA · gold ringXIGROK MID — xAI · USA · silver ringXIKIMI — Moonshot · CHINA · gold ringKMMINIMAX — MiniMax · CHINA · gold ringMMQWEN — Alibaba · CHINA · gold ringQWThe market’s live on Polymarket →